It was actually alot closer than the scores indicated. The Philly/NJ game was a really weird game that I'm very happy to be on the winning end of. So many strange things took place, the score was 42-41 with 6 minutes left in the 2nd quarter, 58-50 at half, and ended with the final being 85-83.
They also led 74-57 with 4 minutes left in the 3rd, then scored 9 points the last 16 minutes of the game!
And if that wasn't crazy enough, Bobby Simmons left in the 1st half and didn't return AND, Vince Carter also got hurt and had to leave the game just 2 minutes into the fourth when the Nets were down by 14. Lets just say I wasn't feeling really good about my chances at the particular point. I basically gave up on it, went to the store, came back, and couldn't believe what I saw.
That had to be the gutsiest win of the year by any team, minus three starters down big on the road late vs one of the hottest teams.
And the drama didn't stop there. The Jazz were down by 22 with a minute 20 left in the game and somehow were able to only lose by 14. I went back and looked at the play-by-play, ended up winning because of a hook shot by Kyle Fesenko with 29 seconds left. Also with key garbage time buckets were Kosta Koufos and freakin Ronnie Price. I also took Portland straight up so was able to hit the middle.
That one teaser had to be one of the luckiest wins I've ever gotten. It's wins like that that make it all worthwhile. Not how it was drawn up, but executed nonetheless
Man ive been out of the game for a minute. But im back..with only 18 dollars. So I need ur help to make the closest thing u can come to a for sure bet, until my money piles up a bit and then I will have a bit more flexibility..
Just glancing I like 4 tomoro
Orlando -7.5 Vs Dallas L.A -6 @ New York Utah -7.5 Vs Bobcats Spurs -5 @ GSW
Idunno if I shud tease that or parlay it I gotta do some research
Lately it seems like I've been concentrating more on making the right bet equally as much as picking the right team. Like looking at a game, there's basically two ways it can go, tease the underdog if you think its going to be real close, or if you think the favorite is a sure lock, tease it down.
With 7 point teasers, if the line is 5 or lower I will not 7 point tease the favorite. The way I see it its wasting the bet. What good is it moving the line from -5 to +2? Since you're still only getting 2 points, it seems smarter for lines that are 5 or less where you like the favorite to parlay it instead, moving the line from -5 to -2. The way I see it -2 is almost the same thing as +2, only difference is in a 7 point tease if you push you lose. So basically, to me you are wasting juice, basically the money spent to buy the 4 points really doens't need to be spent. Most games if you would have won at +2, you also would have won at -2.
So the lines I am attacking with 7 points are favorites I like preferably at home where the favorite is favored anywhere between -6 and -10. Once it gets to 11 to me you're kind of playing with fire. Teasing a game 7 points from -11 to -4 seems like a bad bargain. It doesn't seem like enough breathing room, still losing if your team wins by 4, just doesn't feel like a safe bet. I'd rather just parlay the team at -11 buying only 3 points, that way they can win by 8 and I won't lose, it's only 2 more baskets, and you save a shytload amount of juice. Sure every now and then you'll have a game that you lose because you bought 7 instead of 3, but all that means is you should have 7 point teased the underdog to begin with instead.
HELL FUCK YEAH!! I let it all ride on the Spurs. Saw they were trailing by 13 in the third, I was like oh fuck, here we go again, but those motherphuckers came through when it counted. I just knew they'd find a way considering now the door for the title is wide open with Bynum going down. Oh shit, just seeing it was on overtime win, lol.
I bet Vegas made a killing tonight, shady bets all across the board. Tonight's a night I feel like a big winner just surviving. I felt like I learned alot during the last week.
I have a checklist now that I go by for betting each night. There's like 13 basic bits of information that I make sure to go over before putting in each bet.
Like tonight the only game that couldn't have been predicted based on my sheet is Portland winning at New Orleans, and that was a game that the Hornets led by 17 late in the third before Paul got hurt and went out.
I'm excited, I want to try out this new tomorrow to see how it works. It's just designed to take each individual game as an isolated occurence, and at the same time trying to best manipulate each spread to where I'm getting the biggest advantage over Vegas.
Not even Eric Snow can put me in a bad mood tonight
yea man, you can only buy a half a point on parlays. Teasers I can tease up to 8-10 points.... Im pissed cuz I couldnt do any points again!!! I was at the Heat Game tonight. The crowd was so dead, but a win nonetheless is instantly gratifying.. Ur last post on sunsentinel was classic haha. And ur thing about "not even Eric Snow can put me in a bad mood had me fuckin cracking up hahaha. For real tho tommoro night im game.
damn where the hell have you bean? Had to get started without you. Tonight I took:
3 team 7 point teaser
Rockets -1 Cavs -3.5 76ers +10.5
3 team parlay
Pacers -2 Ind/Min over Nets -2
and I threw in a 2 team parlay at the last second because it was all weird. Spurs jumped from +6 to +13in the matter of seconds, then I put on NBA TV and saw Duncan not in the startnig lineup but I swore they said he was playing or was available, don't know what the deal was, oh well...ended up getting the Spurs at +16 on a freakin parlay, went under 199 just for teh phuck of it.
Ohhhh, I see that Duncan, Parker, AND Ginobli aren't playing. That would explain the 7 point job in the spread. Should have known better and jumped on it
Just another day of survival, but no upwards movement. I got to go back to doing a money bet or putting more on the 3 team teasers. Lately I haven't been able to hit a parlay if my life depended on it. That sucks that they don't let you buy 3 points on parlays. I've never heard of that before
For real..the parlay spreads are always in the range that make u feel a bit uncomfortable. Without the ability to buy more than a half a point on a parlay, it really makes it an almost insurmountable hurdle that I need to overcome.
Thats why u see me doing 8-10 point teasers that are much safer, but not great odds.
I cant believe Jameer Nelson, I had 50 bucks on Orlando finishing with the best regular season record with one of my friends. He just fucked me.
Anyways, im gonna do some serious research for tomoro. We are gonna make some money! I got 18 bucks so I gotta make it count.
This is why I never want to see Magette in a Heat Uniform
Jamal Crawford and Corey Maggette got into an argument during Monday's game, as Crawford accused Maggette of being selfish, according to the San Francisco Chronicle's Janny Hu. Crawford yelled at Maggette, saying something like "contribute something other than scoring," a source said. The shouting continued into the locker room until order was restored. Crawford isn't the first teammate to accuse Maggette of selfish play, and probably won't be the last.
lol...I'll still take Maggette, he's exactly what we need on offense, a rich man's Ricky Davis who scores all his points at the foul line instead of on jumpers
I basically just woke up, rolled out of bed only checking the injury report, and put some bets in:
Nets +2, Lakers -4.5, Magic -10.5
5 to win 15
Knicks +12.5, Bulls +8.5, Rockets +1
10 to win 8.33
Wolves -2, Mavs -3.5, Nuggets -1.5
5 to win 30
Probably all going to lose
If any bet wins, gonna put 13 on Phoenix straight up, or maybe Golden State. Gonna research that one, that Maggette/Crawford tidbit makes me think Phoenix. Bro look at Golden State's last 10 home games, they've either covered or the game was decided by one possession
well my parlay hit, finally...Houston though ruined the teaser. I'm starting to think with 7 point teasers its smart only to take underdogs or home teams favored between 6 and 10. 6-10 point favorites on the road are just too risky.
If its a night where there are alot of games, it should be easy to find 3 underdogs that will cover given the 7 points guaranteed.
Only nights where there are less than 7 games might you have a scoreboard where there might not be 3 definite underdogs that cover with the 7 points.
Just trying to still learn each day. I figure give it another month it should down to a science.
sorry, I dozed off. Philly would have been a good bet, I took Utah at -3. I'm finding that home teams who are favored by 4.5 or less seem to be good bets
Where u at man??? I was 3 pts away from cleaning house last night, I've been on a roll this week, my system has been working. I'm gonna post my bets before 7 tonight
Man, my internet was down the last 3 days, I just had a guy come in and fix it. Im back now, and I dont work till thurs. It looks like ur ballin bro. I got 10 bucks left, so i got find some for sure bets so that I can slowly rebuild to where I was at a couple weeks ago.
38 comments:
I did 2 7 point teasers, one with favorites, one with underdogs...
Lakers -3.5
Rockets -1
Suns -2
Knicks +10.5
Nets +14.5
Jazz +16.5
Fuckkkk I was at work. Im asking off for tommoro and then ill be free for the next few days.
Sux about the Suns game...I would have done every single one of ur bets, I like em all.
It was actually alot closer than the scores indicated. The Philly/NJ game was a really weird game that I'm very happy to be on the winning end of. So many strange things took place, the score was 42-41 with 6 minutes left in the 2nd quarter, 58-50 at half, and ended with the final being 85-83.
They also led 74-57 with 4 minutes left in the 3rd, then scored 9 points the last 16 minutes of the game!
And if that wasn't crazy enough, Bobby Simmons left in the 1st half and didn't return AND, Vince Carter also got hurt and had to leave the game just 2 minutes into the fourth when the Nets were down by 14. Lets just say I wasn't feeling really good about my chances at the particular point. I basically gave up on it, went to the store, came back, and couldn't believe what I saw.
That had to be the gutsiest win of the year by any team, minus three starters down big on the road late vs one of the hottest teams.
And the drama didn't stop there. The Jazz were down by 22 with a minute 20 left in the game and somehow were able to only lose by 14. I went back and looked at the play-by-play, ended up winning because of a hook shot by Kyle Fesenko with 29 seconds left. Also with key garbage time buckets were Kosta Koufos and freakin Ronnie Price. I also took Portland straight up so was able to hit the middle.
That one teaser had to be one of the luckiest wins I've ever gotten. It's wins like that that make it all worthwhile. Not how it was drawn up, but executed nonetheless
Today I took Orlando -3 and the Sac/Oklahoma over 217....slowly coming back
Man ive been out of the game for a minute. But im back..with only 18 dollars. So I need ur help to make the closest thing u can come to a for sure bet, until my money piles up a bit and then I will have a bit more flexibility..
Just glancing I like 4 tomoro
Orlando -7.5 Vs Dallas
L.A -6 @ New York
Utah -7.5 Vs Bobcats
Spurs -5 @ GSW
Idunno if I shud tease that or parlay it I gotta do some research
I also like a 3 team teaser teased down 8 points
Sactown +21.5 @ Suns
Clippers +18.5 vs Heat
Orlando +.5 vs Mavericks
Lately it seems like I've been concentrating more on making the right bet equally as much as picking the right team. Like looking at a game, there's basically two ways it can go, tease the underdog if you think its going to be real close, or if you think the favorite is a sure lock, tease it down.
With 7 point teasers, if the line is 5 or lower I will not 7 point tease the favorite. The way I see it its wasting the bet. What good is it moving the line from -5 to +2? Since you're still only getting 2 points, it seems smarter for lines that are 5 or less where you like the favorite to parlay it instead, moving the line from -5 to -2. The way I see it -2 is almost the same thing as +2, only difference is in a 7 point tease if you push you lose. So basically, to me you are wasting juice, basically the money spent to buy the 4 points really doens't need to be spent. Most games if you would have won at +2, you also would have won at -2.
So the lines I am attacking with 7 points are favorites I like preferably at home where the favorite is favored anywhere between -6 and -10. Once it gets to 11 to me you're kind of playing with fire. Teasing a game 7 points from -11 to -4 seems like a bad bargain. It doesn't seem like enough breathing room, still losing if your team wins by 4, just doesn't feel like a safe bet. I'd rather just parlay the team at -11 buying only 3 points, that way they can win by 8 and I won't lose, it's only 2 more baskets, and you save a shytload amount of juice. Sure every now and then you'll have a game that you lose because you bought 7 instead of 3, but all that means is you should have 7 point teased the underdog to begin with instead.
Yea I see where ur going...Big problem tho. On my site u can only buy a half of a point....:-(
what do you mean you can only buy a half a point, do you mean on parlays???
damn it, i knew i should have taken dallas, wtf was i thinking, could of have had em at +15
HELL FUCK YEAH!! I let it all ride on the Spurs. Saw they were trailing by 13 in the third, I was like oh fuck, here we go again, but those motherphuckers came through when it counted. I just knew they'd find a way considering now the door for the title is wide open with Bynum going down. Oh shit, just seeing it was on overtime win, lol.
I bet Vegas made a killing tonight, shady bets all across the board. Tonight's a night I feel like a big winner just surviving. I felt like I learned alot during the last week.
I have a checklist now that I go by for betting each night. There's like 13 basic bits of information that I make sure to go over before putting in each bet.
Like tonight the only game that couldn't have been predicted based on my sheet is Portland winning at New Orleans, and that was a game that the Hornets led by 17 late in the third before Paul got hurt and went out.
I'm excited, I want to try out this new tomorrow to see how it works. It's just designed to take each individual game as an isolated occurence, and at the same time trying to best manipulate each spread to where I'm getting the biggest advantage over Vegas.
Not even Eric Snow can put me in a bad mood tonight
yea man, you can only buy a half a point on parlays. Teasers I can tease up to 8-10 points.... Im pissed cuz I couldnt do any points again!!! I was at the Heat Game tonight. The crowd was so dead, but a win nonetheless is instantly gratifying.. Ur last post on sunsentinel was classic haha. And ur thing about "not even Eric Snow can put me in a bad mood had me fuckin cracking up hahaha. For real tho tommoro night im game.
Cant believe Kobe put up 61 man
damn where the hell have you bean? Had to get started without you. Tonight I took:
3 team 7 point teaser
Rockets -1
Cavs -3.5
76ers +10.5
3 team parlay
Pacers -2
Ind/Min over
Nets -2
and I threw in a 2 team parlay at the last second because it was all weird. Spurs jumped from +6 to +13in the matter of seconds, then I put on NBA TV and saw Duncan not in the startnig lineup but I swore they said he was playing or was available, don't know what the deal was, oh well...ended up getting the Spurs at +16 on a freakin parlay, went under 199 just for teh phuck of it.
Ohhhh, I see that Duncan, Parker, AND Ginobli aren't playing. That would explain the 7 point job in the spread. Should have known better and jumped on it
Once again I had to go to southbeach, and I came home and napped and just woke up a couple hrs ago. Ur bets look good, sux about the Pacers tho.
Just another day of survival, but no upwards movement. I got to go back to doing a money bet or putting more on the 3 team teasers. Lately I haven't been able to hit a parlay if my life depended on it. That sucks that they don't let you buy 3 points on parlays. I've never heard of that before
For real..the parlay spreads are always in the range that make u feel a bit uncomfortable. Without the ability to buy more than a half a point on a parlay, it really makes it an almost insurmountable hurdle that I need to overcome.
Thats why u see me doing 8-10 point teasers that are much safer, but not great odds.
I cant believe Jameer Nelson, I had 50 bucks on Orlando finishing with the best regular season record with one of my friends. He just fucked me.
Anyways, im gonna do some serious research for tomoro. We are gonna make some money! I got 18 bucks so I gotta make it count.
This is why I never want to see Magette in a Heat Uniform
Jamal Crawford and Corey Maggette got into an argument during Monday's game, as Crawford accused Maggette of being selfish, according to the San Francisco Chronicle's Janny Hu.
Crawford yelled at Maggette, saying something like "contribute something other than scoring," a source said. The shouting continued into the locker room until order was restored. Crawford isn't the first teammate to accuse Maggette of selfish play, and probably won't be the last.
lol...I'll still take Maggette, he's exactly what we need on offense, a rich man's Ricky Davis who scores all his points at the foul line instead of on jumpers
I basically just woke up, rolled out of bed only checking the injury report, and put some bets in:
Nets +2, Lakers -4.5, Magic -10.5
5 to win 15
Knicks +12.5, Bulls +8.5, Rockets +1
10 to win 8.33
Wolves -2, Mavs -3.5, Nuggets -1.5
5 to win 30
Probably all going to lose
If any bet wins, gonna put 13 on Phoenix straight up, or maybe Golden State. Gonna research that one, that Maggette/Crawford tidbit makes me think Phoenix. Bro look at Golden State's last 10 home games, they've either covered or the game was decided by one possession
actually Golden State you think should take it, they score with such ease, Phoenix scoring is like watching paint dry
Now with Bynum out, if TMAC gets back to 100%, I'm really liking Houston's chances of at least getting to the Finals
probably shouldn't have taken Orlando with so many points Nelson being out
I got a 3 team parlay
Denver -1.5 at OKC
Minesota -2 vs Hawks (No JJ)
New Orleans -1.5 vs Bulls
8 to win 48...Leaves me with 10 bucks
Ur last bet is pretty much my parlay except u got Dallas at -3.5, and I got Hornets at -1.5
Omg I forgot Chris Paul wasnt playing...fuck!!!
well my parlay hit, finally...Houston though ruined the teaser. I'm starting to think with 7 point teasers its smart only to take underdogs or home teams favored between 6 and 10. 6-10 point favorites on the road are just too risky.
If its a night where there are alot of games, it should be easy to find 3 underdogs that will cover given the 7 points guaranteed.
Only nights where there are less than 7 games might you have a scoreboard where there might not be 3 definite underdogs that cover with the 7 points.
Just trying to still learn each day. I figure give it another month it should down to a science.
I'm trying to hit the middle in the Suns-Warriors game. I got GS at +7, Phx at -1
Good shit Gkall. I lost..of course. Down to 10 dollars. I have basically 2 options.
I have enough money to do 2 parlays at 5$ each
or
I can find a game I know I will win and put all my money into it.
Ur job is to help me find out which one I do lol
I got work at 8. I gotta put my bets in b4, lemme know what bet u think i shud take that is the most for sure bet possible
sorry, I dozed off. Philly would have been a good bet, I took Utah at -3. I'm finding that home teams who are favored by 4.5 or less seem to be good bets
Man, I was gonna do a 3 team parlay and I would have won it but I pussied out cuz I wanted ur confirmation.
I got
Thunder +13
Clippers +11.5
Bobcats +7
Kings +10
Raptors +9.5
Warriors +17
Jazz -3
Wash/Den Over 203
Okl/Por Under 199
NY/Bos Under 207.5
GS/Pho Under 233
Where u at man??? I was 3 pts away from cleaning house last night, I've been on a roll this week, my system has been working. I'm gonna post my bets before 7 tonight
Man, my internet was down the last 3 days, I just had a guy come in and fix it. Im back now, and I dont work till thurs. It looks like ur ballin bro. I got 10 bucks left, so i got find some for sure bets so that I can slowly rebuild to where I was at a couple weeks ago.
U like anything tonight son?
I dont really like any of the bets tonight.
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